Multidisciplinary Cancer Investigation
نشریه بین المللی چند تخصصی سرطان
Multidiscip Cancer Investig
Medical Sciences
http://mcijournal.com
1
admin
2476-4922
2538-1911
10.30699/acadpub.mci
en
jalali
1397
1
1
gregorian
2018
4
1
2
2
online
1
fulltext
en
The Prediction Number of New Cases and Death of Gastric Cancer Among Iranian Military Community During 2007-2019
Health Policy and Economics
Original/Research Article
<div style="text-align: justify;"><strong>Introduction: </strong>Although the trend of incidence and mortality of gastric cancer is decreasing in globally, this cancer is a problem in some areas of Iran. The purpose of the current study was the prediction of the future trend of incident cases and mortality of gastric cancer information in the military community (MC) by using time series method.<br>
<strong>Methods:</strong> In This cross-sectional aggregate based study, the required information was obtained from insurance organization of Iranian military community. For selecting the best model, autocorrelation function (ACF), partial autocorrelation function (PACF), and Akaike information criterion (AIC) statistics were used. Moreover, for identifying and fitting selected models, Tests of randomness on residuals and the schematic Checking of the residual graph were used. All analysis was performed by using Interactive Time Series Modeling Package (ITSM), stata14, and Excel software. All analysis was carried out by considering 0.05 for significance level.<br>
<strong>Results:</strong> 70.42% of cases were males and 29.58% were females. The mean age of patients was 69.51±11.52. The mean age of males and females were 70.15±11.08 and 67.98±12.36, respectively. The trend of overall incident cases of gastric cancer was increasing but mortality of this cancer had a constant trend. The trend of incident cases in males was increasing but the mortality had a constant trend. The trend of new cases and mortality in females was constant.<br>
<strong>Conclusions:</strong> the number of new cases of gastric cancer among Iranian MC males will increase in coming years, therefore programs to decrease main risk factors should be taken into account.</div>
Gastric Cancer, Military Community, Time Series.
14
19
http://mcijournal.com/browse.php?a_code=A-10-191-1&slc_lang=en&sid=1
Ali Reza
Khoshdel
alikhoshdel@yahoo.com
10031947532846001645
10031947532846001645
No
Military Epidemiology Research Center, Aja University of medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
Majid
Ziaei
y.alimohamadi67@gmail.com
10031947532846001646
10031947532846001646
No
Insurance organization of Iranian military community, Tehran, Iran
Hamid Reza
Ghaffari
y.alimohamadi67@gmail.com
10031947532846001647
10031947532846001647
No
Insurance organization of Iranian military community, Tehran, Iran
Saeid
Azadi
sazadi65@gmail.com
10031947532846001648
10031947532846001648
No
Military Epidemiology Research Center, Aja University of medical sciences, Tehran, Iran
Yousef
Alimohamadi
y.alimohamadi67@gmail.com
10031947532846001649
10031947532846001649
Yes
Military Epidemiology Research Center, Aja University of medical sciences, Tehran, Iran